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Fuel

Gasoline's Four-Week Climb Is Squeezing Route Margins

By Pexara Research2 min read
Fuel

Pump prices didn't spike overnight — they crept. And that's the kind of move that's easy to miss until the fuel card statement lands.

According to EIA weekly data, the US average retail gasoline price hit $4.211/gallon as of August 3, up from $3.911/gallon on July 6 — a 7.7% climb in exactly four weeks. It ticked down slightly from the July 27 reading of $4.228, but the month-over-month direction is unmistakable.

This matters more for last-mile fleets than the headline number suggests, because most DSP vans run on gasoline, not diesel. The Ram ProMaster 2500 and Ford Transit 350 — the two most common vans in DSP fleets — post EPA ratings around 18 and 19 mpg respectively. At 18 mpg, the July 6 price worked out to roughly $0.217 per mile in fuel cost. At today's $4.211, that's climbed to about $0.234 per mile — a difference of $0.017.

That sounds small until it's multiplied. A van running 80 route miles a day picks up an extra $1.36 in fuel cost daily, or roughly $28 a month at 20 driving days. Scale that across a 40-van fleet and the four-week gasoline climb alone adds close to $1,120 a month in fuel spend — before accounting for idle time, detours, or traffic.

None of this shows up on a P&L until the invoice hits, which is exactly why operators get blindsided by fuel line variance they didn't budget for. The four-week trend has been up every week but one. Whether it keeps climbing into peak season is the question worth watching heading into fall route planning.

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