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Gasoline Fell $0.35 in Three Weeks — Now Run the Fleet Math

By Pexara.ai2 min read
fuel

After a seven-week surge that pushed national average gasoline past $4.60, prices have pulled back to $4.28/gallon as of the week ending June 8, per EIA weekly data. That puts operators nearly back to where they stood before the spike started in late April.

Here's the math that matters. On a standard ProMaster 2500 running 100 miles per day at 18 mpg, you're burning about 5.6 gallons per van per day. At the May 11 peak of $4.63 versus today's $4.28, the per-van fuel savings works out to roughly $1.96/day. For a 20-van fleet, that's about $39/day — or around $1,180/month if prices hold here.

At 120 stops per van, that peak-period cost added approximately 1.6 cents per stop. That doesn't look threatening in isolation, but stack it against a week where your Amazon completion rate slipped or you ran extra time to cover a sick driver, and it shows up fast in your per-delivery margin.

Two things to take from this:

First, the "relief" is real but modest. At $4.28, gasoline is still running in the upper two-thirds of its five-year range per EIA data — this is not a cheap fuel environment. It's a less-expensive-than-last-month environment.

Second, seven weeks of elevated fuel that nobody planned for is exactly how untracked costs create end-of-month surprises. If your fleet doesn't have a live fuel line item, the next spike will look like mystery margin erosion.

See how gasoline's share of your cost per stop has shifted at pexara.ai/calculator.

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